Articles

The Fed’s Dilemma: Inflation or Recession?»

July 12, 2022 –

The most recent CPI showed headline inflation 9.1% higher than a year ago, while “core” inflation (excluding volatile food and energy prices) rose 5.9%. This sustained surge in price levels occurred while the US economy shrank at an annualized rate of 1.6% in the first quarter of 2022.

The Fed Transitions as Inflation Does Not»

April 12, 2022 –

As we enter the third year of a world dominated by the evolving COVID-19 pandemic, it’s worth reflecting on what lessons, if any, we have learned from the experience, and whether any such lessons might be applied to the management of our investment portfolios.

Pandemic Reflections»

January 25, 2022 –

As we enter the third year of a world dominated by the evolving COVID-19 pandemic, it’s worth reflecting on what lessons, if any, we have learned from the experience, and whether any such lessons might be applied to the management of our investment portfolios.

The Rhythm of Financial Crises»

October 5, 2021 –

We believe that trying to predict major market moves is an exercise in futility. Nevertheless, given the current environment of elevated equity valuations, interest rates near all-time lows, and debt-fueled liquidity, it is worth examining whether typical signs of a bubble currently exist.

Inflated Worries»

July 13, 2021 –

Among the silver linings of the difficult past year have been the rapid recoveries in global economies and markets. In the US, corporate earnings and aggregate economic activity have now…

How Diversified is Your Index?»

April 9, 2021 –

With the rise of the S&P 500 as the primary benchmark for US large company equity returns, we thought it would be useful to cast some light on exactly how…

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